Keaton Mitchell
LAC @ BAL · Mon, Nov 16 8:15 PM
Game log against Over 9.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 9.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).
What's different on Monday
Over 9.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Justin Herbert: Questionable (finger). He led LAC in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 9.5 with Herbert at quarterback: 5 of 8; with another LAC quarterback: no games
New team
8 games with LAC; before that, BAL
Over 9.5 with LAC: 5 of 8; his last 10 games before: 9 of 10
Defense vs running backs
BAL allow 81.6 rushing yards a game to running backs: 21st most of 32
9 games
Carries
Last 3: 4.3 carries · 2026: 5.8 (8 games)
Splits
Over 9.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against BAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 9.5
- Average
- 21.1
- +11.6 vs line
- Median
- 17.5
- +8 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −114
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Carries
- 5.7
- 10 games · 4.9 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 9.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2601 book | — | 8/10 | |
| −1142 books | −1142 books | 6/10 | |
| +1681 book | — | 5/10 | |
| +2801 book | — | 5/10 | |
| +4101 book | — | 4/10 | |
| +6301 book | — | 4/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 9.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 9.5 | Under 9.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel4 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| Pinnacle5 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 5:42 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
9.5Over: No move since first seen