Keaton Mitchell
LAC @ BAL · Mon, Nov 16 8:15 PM
Game log against Over 23.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 23.5 Rush+Rec Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).
What's different on Monday
Over 23.5 · facts from past games, not a pickMonDefense vs running backs
BAL allow 98.8 rushing + receiving yards a game to running backs: 30th most of 32
9 games
Quarterback
Justin Herbert: Questionable (finger). He led LAC in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 23.5 with Herbert at quarterback: 5 of 8; with another LAC quarterback: no games
New team
8 games with LAC; before that, BAL
Over 23.5 with LAC: 5 of 8; his last 10 games before: 6 of 10
Carries + targets
Last 3: 7 carries + targets · 2026: 8.5 (8 games)
Target share: 8% last 3 games · 10% over 7 games this season
Splits
Over 23.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against BAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 23.5
- Average
- 32.1
- +8.6 vs line
- Median
- 33.5
- +10 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −113
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Carries + targets
- 8.1
- 10 games · 5.9 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 23.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1131 book | −1151 book | 6/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 6/10 |
Compare 1 sportsbook at 23.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 23.5 | Under 23.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel2 min ago | −113Best | −115Best |
Prices as of 7:10 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
23.524.5 → 23.5 since first seen