Keaton Mitchell
LAC @ BAL · Mon, Nov 16 8:15 PM
Game log against Over 10.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 10.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 6 on the road).
What's different on Monday
Over 10.5 · facts from past games, not a pickMonDefense vs running backs
BAL allow 17.2 receiving yards a game to running backs: the fewest of 32
9 games
Quarterback
Justin Herbert: Questionable (finger). He led LAC in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 10.5 with Herbert at quarterback: 5 of 7; with another LAC quarterback: no games
New team
7 games with LAC; before that, BAL
Over 10.5 with LAC: 5 of 7; his last 10 games before: 4 of 10
Targets
Last 3: 2.7 targets · 2026: 3.1 (7 games)
Target share: 8% last 3 games · 10% over 7 games this season
Splits
Over 10.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against BAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 10.5
- Average
- 12.2
- +1.7 vs line
- Median
- 13.5
- +3 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −114
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 2.8
- 10 games · 1.7 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 10.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2901 book | — | 7/10 | |
| −1301 book | — | 6/10 | |
| −1142 books | −1142 books | 6/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 6/10 | |
| +1401 book | — | 5/10 | |
| +2251 book | — | 2/10 | |
| +3501 book | — | 1/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 10.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 10.5 | Under 10.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel2 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| Pinnacle2 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:10 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
10.511.5 → 10.5 since first seen