KC Concepcion
HOU @ CLE · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM
Game log against Over 49.5
33%3 of 9L9
Over 49.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 3 of his last 9 games (1 of 3 at home).
What's different on Sunday
Over 49.5 · facts from past games, not a pickSunQuarterback
Deshaun Watson: Out. He led CLE in passing in 8 of 9 games this season
Also led: Shedeur Sanders 1 (led the last game). Over 49.5 with Watson at quarterback: 2 of 8; with another CLE quarterback: 1 of 1
SunDefense vs wide receivers
HOU allow 187.5 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 2nd most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 6.7 targets · 2026: 6.1 (9 games)
Target share: 19% last 3 games · 19% over 9 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 at NO
Splits
Over 49.5 · L9 · counts, not in orderNo game against HOU on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L9 · Over 49.5
- Average
- 48.6
- −0.9 vs line
- Median
- 37
- −12.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 33%
- 3 of 9
- Price implies
- 49%
- at +105
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 6.1
- 9 games
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 49.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L9| Line | Over | Under | L9 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1654 books | — | 4/9 | |
| −1135 books | −1174 books | 3/9 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 3/9 | |
| +1055 books | −1151 book | 3/9 | |
| +1634 books | — | 3/9 | |
| +2504 books | — | 2/9 | |
| +3804 books | — | 2/9 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 49.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 49.5 | Under 49.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet9 min ago | +105Best | — |
| betPARX9 min ago | +105Best | — |
| BetRivers9 min ago | +105Best | — |
| FanDuel9 min ago | +104 | — |
| Bovada9 min ago | −115 | −115Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 6:15 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
49.547.5 → 49.5 since first seen