Josh Downs

Kansas City Chiefs · WR · #2

KC @ ATL · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under23.5

Over 23.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1142 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 23.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).

at HOU, 2026-01-04: 61, cleared, 4 targets
vs BAL, 2026-09-13: 37, cleared, 4 targets
at KC, 2026-09-20: 72, cleared, 9 targets
vs HOU, 2026-09-27: 77, cleared, 11 targets
at WSH, 2026-10-04: 16, missed, 4 targets
at PIT, 2026-10-11: 47, cleared, 6 targets
vs TEN, 2026-10-18: 40, cleared, 8 targets
at MIN, 2026-10-25: 18, missed, 4 targets
at JAX, 2026-11-01: 23, missed, 5 targets
vs DAL, 2026-11-08: 24, cleared, 6 targets

ClearedMissedThe 23.5 lineTargets

What's different on Sunday

Over 23.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

All 7 of his 7 hits in the last 10 came before Downs joined KC. With KC: Over 23.5 in no games.

SunNew team
Downs's first game with KC; before that, IND
his last 10 games before: 7 of 10
Quarterback
Patrick Mahomes: Questionable. He led KC in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 23.5 with Mahomes at quarterback: no games; with another KC quarterback: no games
Defense vs wide receivers
ATL allow 158.6 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 10th most of 32
9 games
Targets
Last 3: 5 targets · 2026: 6.3 (9 games)
Target share: 17% last 3 games · 19% over 9 games this season

Splits

Over 23.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against ATL in his last 10; Over 23.5 cleared in 1 of 2 against ATL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs ATL

Receiving Yards: 3 in 2 targets, Nov 9, 2025 (home)

Over 23.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against ATL on record

L10 · Over 23.5

Average: 41.5; +18 vs line
Median: 38.5; +15 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −114
Books’ fair: 49%; margin removed
Targets: 6.1; 10 games · 5.5 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 23.5 49%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2451 book	—	10/10
−2004 books	—	8/10
—	—	8/10
−1142 books	−1212 books	7/10
−1061 book	—	6/10
−1103 books	−1202 books	6/10
+1044 books	—	6/10

Compare 2 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 23.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 23.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 23.5	Under 23.5
Pinnacle4 min ago	−109Best	−121
FanDuel3 min ago	−114	−114Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:39 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

23.5

32.5 → 23.5 since first seen