Josh Downs

Kansas City Chiefs · WR · #2

KC @ ATL · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns, typical price +3204 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

10%1 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 1 of his last 10 games (1 of 6 on the road).

at HOU, 2026-01-04: 0, missed, 5 carries + targets
vs BAL, 2026-09-13: 0, missed, 4 carries + targets
at KC, 2026-09-20: 0, missed, 9 carries + targets
vs HOU, 2026-09-27: 0, missed, 11 carries + targets
at WSH, 2026-10-04: 0, missed, 4 carries + targets
at PIT, 2026-10-11: 0, missed, 6 carries + targets
vs TEN, 2026-10-18: 0, missed, 9 carries + targets
at MIN, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 4 carries + targets
at JAX, 2026-11-01: 1, cleared, 5 carries + targets
vs DAL, 2026-11-08: 0, missed, 6 carries + targets

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineCarries + targets

What's different on Sunday

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

SunNew team
Downs's first game with KC; before that, IND
his last 10 games before: 1 of 10
Quarterback
Patrick Mahomes: Questionable. He led KC in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 0.5 with Mahomes at quarterback: no games; with another KC quarterback: no games
Carries + targets
Last 3: 5 carries + targets · 2026: 6.4 (9 games)
Target share: 17% last 3 games · 19% over 9 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 vs NYJ

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against ATL in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 0 of 2 against ATL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs ATL

Total Touchdowns: 0 in 2 carries + targets, Nov 9, 2025 (home)

Over 0.5 hit in 0 of 2 games against ATL on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.1; −0.4 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 10%; 1 of 10
Price implies: 24%; at +320
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Carries + targets: 6.3; 10 games · 5.6 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
+3204 books	pick'em only	1/10
+33004 books	—	0/10
+140003 books	—	0/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Total Touchdowns, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
Bally Bet6 min ago	+320Best	—
betPARX6 min ago	+320Best	—
BetRivers6 min ago	+320Best	—
FanDuel6 min ago	+320Best	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:12 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over: No move since first seen