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Josh Cuevas

Baltimore Ravens · TE · #85

JAX @ BAL · Thu, Nov 5 8:15 PM
OverUnder1.5
Over 1.5 Receptions, typical price +1392 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • TonightQuarterback

    Lamar Jackson: Out (thumb). He led BAL in passing in 4 of 8 games this season

    Also led: Tyler Huntley 3 (Doubtful, toe); Joe Fagnano 1 (Questionable, ankle, led the last game). Over 1.5 with Jackson at quarterback: 0 of 1; with another BAL quarterback: 3 of 4

  • TonightRest

    3 days off since Nov 1 at BUF: a short week

  • Defense vs tight ends

    JAX allow 4.1 receptions a game to tight ends: 29th most of 32

    7 games

  • Targets

    Last 3: 3.3 targets · 2026: 2.6 (5 games)

    Target share: 11% last 3 games · 9% over 5 games this season

Game log against Over 1.5

60%3 of 5L5

Over 1.5 Receptions cleared in 3 of his last 5 games (1 of 1 at home).

  1. at DAL, 2026-09-27: 1, missed, 1 targets
  2. at ATL, 2026-10-11: 2, cleared, 2 targets
  3. at CLE, 2026-10-18: 4, cleared, 5 targets
  4. vs CIN, 2026-10-25: 2, cleared, 3 targets
  5. at BUF, 2026-11-01: 1, missed, 2 targets
ClearedMissedThe 1.5 lineTargets

Splits

Over 1.5 · L5 · counts, not in order

No game against JAX on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L5 · Over 1.5

Average
2
+0.5 vs line
Median
2
+0.5 vs line
Hit rate
60%
3 of 5
Price implies
42%
at +139
Books’ fair
39%
margin removed
Targets
2.6
5 games

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 39%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L5
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL5
+1392 books−1872 books3/5
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 1.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Receptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 1.5Under 1.5
FanDuel3 min ago+144Best−194
Bovada3 min ago+135−180Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 4:14 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over +140 → +139 since first seen

Josh Cuevas's full game log and splits