Josh Cuevas
JAX @ BAL · Thu, Nov 5 8:15 PM
What's different tonight
Over 8.5 · facts from past games, not a pick1 of his last 5 came with Lamar Jackson at quarterback; Jackson is out tonight. Without him (BAL): Over 8.5 in 4 of 4.
TonightQuarterback
Lamar Jackson: Out (thumb). He led BAL in passing in 4 of 8 games this season
Also led: Tyler Huntley 3 (Doubtful, toe); Joe Fagnano 1 (Questionable, ankle, led the last game). Over 8.5 with Jackson at quarterback: 1 of 1; with another BAL quarterback: 4 of 4
TonightDefense vs tight ends
JAX allow 32.3 receiving yards a game to tight ends: the fewest of 32
7 games
TonightRest
3 days off since Nov 1 at BUF: a short week
Targets
Last 3: 3.3 targets · 2026: 2.6 (5 games)
Target share: 11% last 3 games · 9% over 5 games this season
Game log against Over 8.5
100%5 of 5L5
Over 8.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 5 of his last 5 games (1 of 1 at home).
Count only
Over 8.5 · L5L5 · Over 8.5
- Average
- 26.8
- +18.3 vs line
- Median
- 26
- +17.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 100%
- 5 of 5
- Price implies
- —
- 2 pick'em apps, no price
- Books’ fair
- —
- needs both sides
- Targets
- 2.6
- 5 games
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet. It's posted on 2 pick'em apps (a pick'em line, no price).
Lines posted now
Over hits, L5| Line | Over | Under | L5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 5/5 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 5/5 |
Compare 2 pick'em apps at 8.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 8.5 | Under 8.5 |
|---|---|---|
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 12:33 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
8.5Over isn't priced at 8.5 right now.