Josh Cuevas
JAX @ BAL · Today 8:15 PMGame log against Over 7.5
100%5 of 5L5
Over 7.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 5 of his last 5 games (1 of 1 at home).
What's different today
Over 7.5 · facts from past games, not a pick1 of his last 5 came with Lamar Jackson at quarterback; Jackson is out today. Without him (BAL): Over 7.5 in 4 of 4.
TodayQuarterback
Lamar Jackson: Injured Reserve (thumb). He led BAL in passing in 4 of 8 games this season
Also led: Tyler Huntley 3 (Injured Reserve, toe); Joe Fagnano 1 (led the last game). Over 7.5 with Jackson at quarterback: 1 of 1; with another BAL quarterback: 4 of 4
TodayDefense vs tight ends
JAX allow 32.3 receiving yards a game to tight ends: the fewest of 32
7 games
TodayRest
3 days off since Nov 1 at BUF: a short week
Targets
Last 3: 3.3 targets · 2026: 2.6 (5 games)
Target share: 11% last 3 games · 9% over 5 games this season
Splits
Over 7.5 · L5 · counts, not in orderNo game against JAX on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L5 · Over 7.5
- Average
- 26.8
- +19.3 vs line
- Median
- 26
- +18.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 100%
- 5 of 5
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −113
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 2.6
- 5 games
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 7.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L5| Line | Over | Under | L5 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1861 book | — | 5/5 | |
| −1134 books | −1173 books | 5/5 | |
| −1152 books | −1152 books | 5/5 | |
| +1124 books | — | 5/5 | |
| +1581 book | — | 4/5 | |
| +2604 books | — | 3/5 | |
| +3501 book | — | 3/5 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 7.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 7.5 | Under 7.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet2 min ago | −112Best | — |
| betPARX1 min ago | −112Best | −117 |
| BetRivers1 min ago | −113 | −118 |
| Pinnacle2 min ago | −114 | −106Best |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 6:16 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
7.58.5 → 7.5 since first seen


