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Josh Allen

Buffalo Bills · QB · #17

BUF @ MIN · Mon, Nov 9 8:15 PM
OverUnder0.5
Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns, typical price −1422 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Carries + targets

    Last 3: 7.3 carries + targets · 2026: 8 (7 games)

  • Rest

    7 days off since Nov 1 vs BAL

  • Game lines

    BUF −3 · total 45.5 (8 sportsbooks)

    BUF's games this season closed at 51.9 on average (7 games)

  • MIN injuries

    Theo Jackson (S, Questionable, 3.6 tackles)

    A player's role: his average over his last games played (up to 10)

Game log against Over 0.5

80%8 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 8 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

  1. vs PHI, 2025-12-28: 2, cleared, 7 carries + targets
  2. at JAX, 2026-01-11: 2, cleared, 11 carries + targets
  3. at DEN, 2026-01-17: 0, missed, 12 carries + targets
  4. at HOU, 2026-09-13: 2, cleared, 6 carries + targets
  5. vs DET, 2026-09-17: 2, cleared, 14 carries + targets
  6. vs LAC, 2026-09-27: 2, cleared, 9 carries + targets
  7. vs NE, 2026-10-04: 1, cleared, 5 carries + targets
  8. at LAR, 2026-10-12: 1, cleared, 10 carries + targets
  9. at LV, 2026-10-18: 0, missed, 5 carries + targets
  10. vs BAL, 2026-11-01: 1, cleared, 7 carries + targets
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineCarries + targets

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 0.5

Average
1.3
+0.8 vs line
Median
1.5
+1 vs line
Hit rate
80%
8 of 10
Price implies
59%
at −142
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides
Carries + targets
8.6
10 games · 7.5 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−1422 bookspick'em only8/10
+5001 book—5/10
+30001 book—0/10
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Total Touchdowns, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
FanDuel1 min ago−125Best—
Bovada1 min ago−162—
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 8:54 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over −157 → −142 since first seen

Josh Allen's full game log and splits