Josh Allen
BUF @ MIN · Mon, Nov 9 8:15 PM
What's different on Monday
Over 30.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs quarterbacks
MIN allow 11.6 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks: 24th most of 32
7 games
Carries
Last 3: 7.3 carries · 2026: 7.9 (7 games)
Rest
7 days off since Nov 1 vs BAL
Game lines
BUF −3 · total 45.5 (8 sportsbooks)
BUF's games this season closed at 51.9 on average (7 games)
Game log against Over 30.5
40%4 of 10L10
Over 30.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).
Splits
Over 30.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 30.5
- Average
- 39.6
- +9.1 vs line
- Median
- 28.5
- −2 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −114
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Carries
- 8.5
- 10 games · 7.5 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 30.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3001 book | — | 8/10 | |
| −1921 book | — | 6/10 | |
| −1251 book | — | 5/10 | |
| −1141 book | −1141 book | 4/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 4/10 | |
| +1681 book | — | 3/10 | |
| +2901 book | — | 3/10 |
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 30.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 30.5 | Under 30.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel6 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:49 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
30.5No move since first seen