Josh Allen
BUF @ MIN · Mon, Nov 9 8:15 PM
Game log against Over 30.5
40%4 of 10L10
Over 30.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).
What's different on Monday
Over 30.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs quarterbacks
MIN allow 11.6 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks: 24th most of 32
7 games
Carries
Last 3: 7.3 carries · 2026: 7.9 (7 games)
Rest
7 days off since Nov 1 vs BAL
Game lines
BUF −3.5 · total 45 (8 sportsbooks)
BUF's games this season closed at 51.9 on average (7 games)
Splits
Over 30.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 30.5
- Average
- 39.6
- +9.1 vs line
- Median
- 28.5
- −2 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −113
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Carries
- 8.5
- 10 games · 7.5 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 30.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2864 books | — | 8/10 | |
| −1881 book | — | 6/10 | |
| −1205 books | −1151 book | 5/10 | |
| −1135 books | −1174 books | 4/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 4/10 | |
| +1604 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +2854 books | — | 3/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 30.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 30.5 | Under 30.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet3 min ago | −112Best | — |
| betPARX3 min ago | −112Best | −117 |
| BetRivers3 min ago | −113 | −118 |
| FanDuel3 min ago | −114 | −114Best |
| Pinnacle3 min ago | −114 | −114Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 2:14 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
30.5−114 → −113 since first seen