Jordan Mason

Minnesota Vikings · RB · #27

BUF @ MIN · Mon, Nov 9 8:15 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns, typical price +1801 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightBack from an absence
Tonight is his 3rd game back after missing 4 games in a row (Sep 20 – Oct 11)
Over 0.5 since: 0 of 2
Quarterback
Kyler Murray: Questionable (hamstring). He led MIN in passing in 5 of 7 games this season
Also led: Carson Wentz 2. Over 0.5 with Murray at quarterback: 0 of 2; with another MIN quarterback: 6 of 17
Carries + targets
Last 3: 13.3 carries + targets · 2025: 10.9 (16 games)
Target share: 8% last 1 game · 8% over 1 game this season
Rest
7 days off since Nov 1 at DET

30%3 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 at home).

vs CHI, 2025-11-16: 1, cleared, 6 carries + targets
at GB, 2025-11-23: 0, missed, 8 carries + targets
at SEA, 2025-11-30: 0, missed, 7 carries + targets
vs WSH, 2025-12-07: 1, cleared, 11 carries + targets
at DAL, 2025-12-14: 0, missed, 10 carries + targets
at NYG, 2025-12-21: 0, missed, 3 carries + targets
vs GB, 2026-01-04: 0, missed, 14 carries + targets
vs GB, 2026-09-13: 1, cleared, 15 carries + targets
vs IND, 2026-10-25: 0, missed, 17 carries + targets
at DET, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 8 carries + targets

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineCarries + targets

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against BUF in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 0 of 1 against BUF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs BUF

Total Touchdowns: 0 in 13 carries + targets, Dec 1, 2024 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against BUF on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 30%; 3 of 10
Price implies: 36%; at +180
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Carries + targets: 9.9; 10 games · 10.9 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
+1801 book	pick'em only	3/10
+15001 book	—	0/10
+100001 book	—	0/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Total Touchdowns, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
FanDuel4 min ago	+180Best	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:54 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over +175 → +180 since first seen