Jordan Mason

Minnesota Vikings · RB · #27

BUF @ MIN · Mon, Nov 9 8:15 PM

Over Under49.5

Over 49.5 Rushing Yards, typical price −1141 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 49.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightBack from an absence
Tonight is his 3rd game back after missing 4 games in a row (Sep 20 – Oct 11)
Over 49.5 since: 1 of 2
Quarterback
Kyler Murray: Questionable (hamstring). He led MIN in passing in 5 of 7 games this season
Also led: Carson Wentz 2. Over 49.5 with Murray at quarterback: 1 of 2; with another MIN quarterback: 8 of 17
Defense vs running backs
BUF allow 81.4 rushing yards a game to running backs: 22nd most of 32
7 games
Carries
Last 3: 12.7 carries · 2025: 9.9 (16 games)

40%4 of 10L10

Over 49.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 at home).

vs CHI, 2025-11-16: 45, missed, 6 carries
at GB, 2025-11-23: 42, missed, 8 carries
at SEA, 2025-11-30: 47, missed, 6 carries
vs WSH, 2025-12-07: 52, cleared, 11 carries
at DAL, 2025-12-14: 29, missed, 10 carries
at NYG, 2025-12-21: 5, missed, 2 carries
vs GB, 2026-01-04: 94, cleared, 14 carries
vs GB, 2026-09-13: 59, cleared, 15 carries
vs IND, 2026-10-25: 68, cleared, 15 carries
at DET, 2026-11-01: 20, missed, 8 carries

ClearedMissedThe 49.5 lineCarries

Splits

Over 49.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against BUF in his last 10; Over 49.5 cleared in 1 of 1 against BUF on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs BUF

Rushing Yards: 78 in 13 carries, Dec 1, 2024 (away)

Over 49.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against BUF on record

L10 · Over 49.5

Average: 46.1; −3.4 vs line
Median: 46; −3.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −114
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Carries: 9.5; 10 games · 9.9 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 49.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−7501 book	—	8/10
−4701 book	—	7/10
−2201 book	—	7/10
−1141 book	−1141 book	4/10
+1481 book	—	2/10
+2251 book	—	1/10
+3501 book	—	1/10

Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 49.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 49.5 Rushing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 49.5	Under 49.5
FanDuel10 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:59 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

49.5

Over No move since first seen