Jaylen Warren

Pittsburgh Steelers · RB · #30

PIT @ CIN · Sun, Nov 15 8:20 PM

Over Under13.5

Over 13.5 Rushing Attempts, typical price −1063 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 13.5 Rushing Attempts cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 on the road).

vs BAL, 2026-01-04: 14, cleared, 14 carries
vs HOU, 2026-01-12: 12, missed, 12 carries
vs ATL, 2026-09-13: 10, missed, 10 carries
at NE, 2026-09-20: 11, missed, 11 carries
vs CIN, 2026-09-27: 17, cleared, 17 carries
at CLE, 2026-10-01: 17, cleared, 17 carries
vs IND, 2026-10-11: 15, cleared, 15 carries
at TB, 2026-10-18: 14, cleared, 14 carries
at NO, 2026-10-25: 18, cleared, 18 carries
vs CLE, 2026-11-01: 17, cleared, 17 carries

ClearedMissedThe 13.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 8.2–18.4 rushing attempts.

What's different on Sunday

Over 13.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Aaron Rodgers led PIT in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 13.5 with Rodgers at quarterback: 13 of 23; with another PIT quarterback: 3 of 28
Defense vs running backs
CIN allow 19.8 carries a game to running backs: 27th most of 32
8 games
Carries
Last 3: 16.3 carries · 2026: 14.9 (8 games)
Rest
13 days off since Nov 1 vs CLE

Splits

Over 13.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs CIN

Rushing Attempts: 17 in 17 carries, Sep 27 (home)

Over 13.5 hit in 2 of 7 games against CIN on record

L10 · Over 13.5

Average: 14.5; +1 vs line
Median: 14.5; +1 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 51%; at −106
Books’ fair: 48%; margin removed
Our chance: 54%; estimate · fair −119

Research, not a pick. At −106 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −119, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−6253 books	—	10/10
−2353 books	—	8/10
−1063 books	−1241 book	7/10
+1903 books	—	4/10
+3703 books	—	1/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 13.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 13.5 Rushing Attempts, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 13.5	Under 13.5
Bally Bet15 min ago	−106Best	—
betPARX15 min ago	−106Best	−124Best
BetRivers15 min ago	−107	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:19 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

13.5

−103 → −106 since first seen