Jaylen Warren

Pittsburgh Steelers · RB · #30

PIT @ CIN · Sun, Nov 15 8:20 PM

Over Under90.5

Over 90.5 Rush+Rec Yards, typical price −1143 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 90.5 Rush+Rec Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 on the road).

vs BAL, 2026-01-04: 99, cleared, 19 carries + targets
vs HOU, 2026-01-12: 47, missed, 13 carries + targets
vs ATL, 2026-09-13: 73, missed, 16 carries + targets
at NE, 2026-09-20: 77, missed, 15 carries + targets
vs CIN, 2026-09-27: 176, cleared, 21 carries + targets
at CLE, 2026-10-01: 126, cleared, 23 carries + targets
vs IND, 2026-10-11: 188, cleared, 21 carries + targets
at TB, 2026-10-18: 78, missed, 18 carries + targets
at NO, 2026-10-25: 137, cleared, 22 carries + targets
vs CLE, 2026-11-01: 143, cleared, 19 carries + targets

ClearedMissedThe 90.5 lineCarries + targets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 41.7–157.3 rush+rec yards.

What's different on Sunday

Over 90.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Aaron Rodgers led PIT in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 90.5 with Rodgers at quarterback: 10 of 23; with another PIT quarterback: 6 of 28
Defense vs running backs
CIN allow 120.6 rushing + receiving yards a game to running backs: 18th most of 32
8 games
Carries + targets
Last 3: 19.7 carries + targets · 2026: 19.4 (8 games)
Target share: 10% last 3 games · 12% over 8 games this season
Rest
13 days off since Nov 1 vs CLE

Splits

Over 90.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs CIN

Rush+Rec Yards: 176 in 21 carries + targets, Sep 27 (home)

Over 90.5 hit in 2 of 7 games against CIN on record

L10 · Over 90.5

Average: 114.4; +23.9 vs line
Median: 112.5; +22 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −114
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 56%; estimate · fair −125

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −125, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2453 books	—	8/10
−1143 books	−1152 books	6/10
−1141 book	−1141 book	6/10
—	—	6/10
+1283 books	—	5/10
+3253 books	—	5/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 90.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 90.5 Rush+Rec Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 90.5	Under 90.5
Bally Bet5 min ago	−114Best	—
betPARX5 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
BetRivers5 min ago	−115	−115

Prices as of 5:41 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

90.5

89.5 → 90.5 since first seen