Jared GoffQuestionable
NE @ DET · Sun, Nov 15 9:30 AM
Game log against Over 271.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 271.5 Pass+Rush Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 154.8–364.9 pass+rush yards.
What's different on Sunday
Over 271.5 · facts from past games, not a pickPass attempts + carries
Last 3: 30.3 attempts + carries · 2026: 36.5 (8 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 at MIA
Game lines
DET −2.5 · total 50.5 (6 sportsbooks)
DET's games this season closed at 51.6 on average (8 games)
NE injuries
Carlton Davis III (CB, Out, 5 tackles); Kevin Byard (S, Questionable, 4.8 tackles); Charles Woods (CB, Questionable, 3.5 tackles)
A player's role: his average over his last games played (up to 10)
Splits
Over 271.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against NE on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 271.5
- Average
- 268.4
- −3.1 vs line
- Median
- 273.5
- +2 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −115
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 50%
- estimate · fair −101
Research, not a pick. At −115 the price is worse than our fair −101, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −1151 book | −1151 book | 6/10 |
Compare 1 sportsbook and 1 pick'em app at 271.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 271.5 | Under 271.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada17 min ago | −115Best | −115Best |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:05 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
271.5No move since first seen