Jameson Williams
DET @ MIA · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
What's different tonight
Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTonightDefense vs wide receivers
MIA allow 9.3 receptions a game to wide receivers: 31st most of 32
7 games
Targets
Last 3: 6.3 targets · 2026: 6.3 (7 games)
Target share: 22% last 3 games · 18% over 7 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs MIN
Game lines
DET −7 · total 50 (6 sportsbooks)
DET's games this season closed at 51.8 on average (7 games)
Game log against Over 3.5
70%7 of 10L10
Over 3.5 Receptions cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).
Splits
Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 3.5
- Average
- 4
- +0.5 vs line
- Median
- 4
- +0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 70%
- 7 of 10
- Price implies
- 50%
- at −102
- Books’ fair
- 47%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 6.4
- 10 games · 6 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 47%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −10001 book | — | 10/10 | |
| −2701 book | — | 7/10 | |
| −1021 book | −1301 book | 7/10 | |
| +2051 book | — | 4/10 | |
| +4101 book | — | 2/10 | |
| +8001 book | — | 0/10 | |
| +12801 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel7 min ago | −102Best | −130Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 11:37 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
3.5Over No move since first seen