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Jameson Williams

Detroit Lions · WR · #1

DET @ MIA · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
OverUnder53.5
—1 pick'em app, no priceUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 53.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Defense vs wide receivers

    MIA allow 121.3 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 29th most of 32

    7 games

  • Targets

    Last 3: 6.3 targets · 2026: 6.3 (7 games)

    Target share: 22% last 3 games · 18% over 7 games this season

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 vs MIN

  • Game lines

    DET −7 · total 50 (7 sportsbooks)

    DET's games this season closed at 51.8 on average (7 games)

Game log against Over 53.5

50%5 of 10L10

Over 53.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

  1. vs PIT, 2025-12-21: 70, cleared, 9 targets
  2. at MIN, 2025-12-25: 37, missed, 3 targets
  3. at CHI, 2026-01-04: 74, cleared, 8 targets
  4. vs NO, 2026-09-13: 45, missed, 9 targets
  5. at BUF, 2026-09-17: 33, missed, 4 targets
  6. vs NYJ, 2026-09-27: 49, missed, 4 targets
  7. at CAR, 2026-10-04: 102, cleared, 8 targets
  8. at ARI, 2026-10-11: 47, missed, 4 targets
  9. vs GB, 2026-10-25: 91, cleared, 9 targets
  10. vs MIN, 2026-11-01: 70, cleared, 6 targets
ClearedMissedThe 53.5 lineTargets

Count only

Over 53.5 · L10

L10 · Over 53.5

Average
61.8
+8.3 vs line
Median
59.5
+6 vs line
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10
Price implies
—
1 pick'em app, no price
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides
Targets
6.4
10 games · 6 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet. It's posted on 1 pick'em app (a pick'em line, no price).

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
pick'em onlypick'em only5/10
Compare 1 pick'em app at 53.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 53.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 53.5Under 53.5
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 11:32 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

53.5

52.5 → 53.5 since we started recording it

Jameson Williams's full game log and splits