James Cook III

Buffalo Bills · RB · #4

BUF @ NYJ · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under91.5

Under 91.5 Rushing Yards, typical price −1145 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%4 of 10L10

Under 91.5 Rushing Yards hit in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 6 on the road).

at JAX, 2026-01-11: 46, hit, 15 carries
at DEN, 2026-01-17: 117, missed, 24 carries
at HOU, 2026-09-13: 57, hit, 13 carries
vs DET, 2026-09-17: 135, missed, 21 carries
vs LAC, 2026-09-27: 154, missed, 24 carries
vs NE, 2026-10-04: 75, hit, 12 carries
at LAR, 2026-10-12: 111, missed, 25 carries
at LV, 2026-10-18: 95, missed, 22 carries
vs BAL, 2026-11-01: 80, hit, 21 carries
at MIN, 2026-11-09: 107, missed, 31 carries

Under hitMissedThe 91.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 40.7–122.9 rushing yards.

What's different on Sunday

Under 91.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Josh Allen led BUF in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Under 91.5 with Allen at quarterback: 32 of 54; with another BUF quarterback: 2 of 2
Defense vs running backs
NYJ allow 110.3 rushing yards a game to running backs: 7th most of 32
9 games
Carries
Last 3: 24.7 carries · 2026: 21.1 (8 games)
Rest
5 days off since Nov 9 at MIN

Splits

Under 91.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NYJ in his last 10; Under 91.5 hit in 3 of 4 against NYJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs NYJ

Rushing Yards: 15 in 2 carries, Jan 4 (home)

Under 91.5 hit in 3 of 4 games against NYJ on record

L10 · Under 91.5

Average: 97.7; +6.2 vs line
Median: 101; +9.5 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −114
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 51%; estimate · fair −103

Research, not a pick. At −112 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −103, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−4204 books	—	2/10
−2254 books	—	3/10
−1294 books	—	4/10
−1175 books	−1144 books	4/10
−1151 book	−1151 book	4/10
—	—	4/10
+1254 books	—	5/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 91.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 91.5 Rushing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 91.5	Under 91.5
betPARX15 min ago	−117	−112Best
BetRivers15 min ago	−118	−113
FanDuel15 min ago	−114Best	−114
Pinnacle16 min ago	−114Best	−114
Bally Bet15 min ago	−117	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 8:05 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

91.5

−115 → −114 since first seen