James Cook III

Buffalo Bills · RB · #4

BUF @ NYJ · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under19.5

Over 19.5 Rushing Attempts, typical price +1023 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

70%7 of 10L10

Over 19.5 Rushing Attempts cleared in 7 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 on the road).

at JAX, 2026-01-11: 15, missed, 15 carries
at DEN, 2026-01-17: 24, cleared, 24 carries
at HOU, 2026-09-13: 13, missed, 13 carries
vs DET, 2026-09-17: 21, cleared, 21 carries
vs LAC, 2026-09-27: 24, cleared, 24 carries
vs NE, 2026-10-04: 12, missed, 12 carries
at LAR, 2026-10-12: 25, cleared, 25 carries
at LV, 2026-10-18: 22, cleared, 22 carries
vs BAL, 2026-11-01: 21, cleared, 21 carries
at MIN, 2026-11-09: 31, cleared, 31 carries

ClearedMissedThe 19.5 lineCarries

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 9.6–25.6 rushing attempts.

What's different on Sunday

Over 19.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

SunDefense vs running backs
NYJ allow 26.4 carries a game to running backs: 2nd most of 32
9 games
Quarterback
Josh Allen led BUF in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 19.5 with Allen at quarterback: 17 of 54; with another BUF quarterback: 0 of 2
Carries
Last 3: 24.7 carries · 2026: 21.1 (8 games)
Rest
5 days off since Nov 9 at MIN

Splits

Over 19.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NYJ in his last 10; Over 19.5 cleared in 1 of 4 against NYJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs NYJ

Rushing Attempts: 2 in 2 carries, Jan 4 (home)

Over 19.5 hit in 1 of 4 games against NYJ on record

L10 · Over 19.5

Average: 20.8; +1.3 vs line
Median: 21.5; +2 vs line
Hit rate: 70%; 7 of 10
Price implies: 50%; at +102
Books’ fair: 47%; margin removed
Our chance: 50%; estimate · fair −101

Research, not a pick. At +102 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −101, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−4553 books	—	7/10
−2053 books	—	7/10
+1023 books	−1321 book	7/10
+1953 books	—	5/10
+3753 books	—	4/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 19.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 19.5 Rushing Attempts, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 19.5	Under 19.5
Bally Bet14 min ago	+102Best	—
betPARX14 min ago	+102Best	−132Best
BetRivers14 min ago	+102Best	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:21 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

19.5

+108 → +102 since first seen