James Cook III

Buffalo Bills · RB · #4

BUF @ MIN · Mon, Nov 9 8:15 PM

Over Under92.5

Over 92.5 Rush+Rec Yards, typical price −1153 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 92.5 Rush+Rec Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

vs NYJ, 2026-01-04: 15, missed, 2 carries + targets
at JAX, 2026-01-11: 51, missed, 18 carries + targets
at DEN, 2026-01-17: 141, cleared, 27 carries + targets
at HOU, 2026-09-13: 69, missed, 17 carries + targets
vs DET, 2026-09-17: 139, cleared, 24 carries + targets
vs LAC, 2026-09-27: 154, cleared, 25 carries + targets
vs NE, 2026-10-04: 83, missed, 14 carries + targets
at LAR, 2026-10-12: 118, cleared, 26 carries + targets
at LV, 2026-10-18: 153, cleared, 25 carries + targets
vs BAL, 2026-11-01: 101, cleared, 24 carries + targets

ClearedMissedThe 92.5 lineCarries + targets

Our model's range for Monday's game: a typical game lands 47.9–134.6 rush+rec yards.

What's different on Monday

Over 92.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Quarterback
Josh Allen led BUF in passing in 7 of 7 games this season
Over 92.5 with Allen at quarterback: 32 of 54; with another BUF quarterback: 0 of 2
Defense vs running backs
MIN allow 121.4 rushing + receiving yards a game to running backs: 20th most of 32
7 games
Carries + targets
Last 3: 25 carries + targets · 2026: 22.1 (7 games)
Target share: 8% last 3 games · 8% over 7 games this season
Rest
7 days off since Nov 1 vs BAL

Splits

Over 92.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 92.5

Average: 102.4; +9.9 vs line
Median: 109.5; +17 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −115
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 54%; estimate · fair −120

Research, not a pick. At −115 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −120, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2953 books	—	7/10
−1153 books	−1142 books	6/10
−1151 book	−1151 book	6/10
−1131 book	−1151 book	6/10
−1151 book	−1151 book	6/10
+1203 books	—	6/10
+3353 books	—	4/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks at 92.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 92.5 Rush+Rec Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 92.5	Under 92.5
Bally Bet5 min ago	−115Best	—
betPARX5 min ago	−115Best	−113Best
BetRivers5 min ago	−117	−114

Prices as of 6:50 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

92.5

96.5 → 92.5 since first seen