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James Cook III

Buffalo Bills · RB · #4

BUF @ MIN · Mon, Nov 9 8:15 PM
OverUnder12.5
Over 12.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1141 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 12.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • TonightDefense vs running backs

    MIN allow 18.4 receiving yards a game to running backs: 30th most of 32

    7 games

  • Targets

    Last 3: 2.3 targets · 2026: 2.4 (7 games)

    Target share: 8% last 3 games · 8% over 7 games this season

  • Rest

    7 days off since Nov 1 vs BAL

  • Game lines

    BUF −3 · total 45.5 (7 sportsbooks)

    BUF's games this season closed at 51.9 on average (7 games)

Game log against Over 12.5

30%3 of 10L10

Over 12.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

  1. vs PHI, 2025-12-28: 3, missed, 4 targets
  2. at JAX, 2026-01-11: 5, missed, 3 targets
  3. at DEN, 2026-01-17: 24, cleared, 3 targets
  4. at HOU, 2026-09-13: 12, missed, 4 targets
  5. vs DET, 2026-09-17: 4, missed, 3 targets
  6. vs LAC, 2026-09-27: 0, missed, 1 targets
  7. vs NE, 2026-10-04: 8, missed, 2 targets
  8. at LAR, 2026-10-12: 7, missed, 1 targets
  9. at LV, 2026-10-18: 58, cleared, 3 targets
  10. vs BAL, 2026-11-01: 21, cleared, 3 targets
ClearedMissedThe 12.5 lineTargets

Splits

Over 12.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 12.5

Average
14.2
+1.7 vs line
Median
7.5
−5 vs line
Hit rate
30%
3 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −114
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Targets
2.7
10 games · 2.9 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 12.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−4001 book—7/10
−1861 book—4/10
−1141 book−1141 book3/10
−1141 book−1141 book3/10
−1021 book—3/10
pick'em onlypick'em only3/10
+1541 book—3/10
Compare 1 sportsbook and 3 pick'em apps at 12.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 12.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 12.5Under 12.5
FanDuel10 min ago−114Best−114Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 9:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

12.5

No move since first seen

James Cook III's full game log and splits