James Cook III

Buffalo Bills · RB · #4

BUF @ NYJ · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under1.5

Over 1.5 Receptions, typical price +1106 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Receptions cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 on the road).

at JAX, 2026-01-11: 2, cleared, 3 targets
at DEN, 2026-01-17: 2, cleared, 3 targets
at HOU, 2026-09-13: 3, cleared, 4 targets
vs DET, 2026-09-17: 1, missed, 3 targets
vs LAC, 2026-09-27: 0, missed, 1 targets
vs NE, 2026-10-04: 2, cleared, 2 targets
at LAR, 2026-10-12: 1, missed, 1 targets
at LV, 2026-10-18: 3, cleared, 3 targets
vs BAL, 2026-11-01: 2, cleared, 3 targets
at MIN, 2026-11-09: 0, missed, 1 targets

ClearedMissedThe 1.5 lineTargets

What's different on Sunday

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs running backs
NYJ allow 3.4 receptions a game to running backs: 26th most of 32
9 games
Targets
Last 3: 2.3 targets · 2026: 2.3 (8 games)
Target share: 7% last 3 games · 8% over 8 games this season
Rest
5 days off since Nov 9 at MIN
Game lines
BUF −8 · total 51 (6 sportsbooks)
BUF's games this season closed at 51.3 on average (8 games)

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NYJ in his last 10; Over 1.5 cleared in 1 of 2 against NYJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs NYJ

III didn't play the Jan 4 meeting; receptions the last time III faced them: 1 (Sep 14, 2025)

Over 1.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against NYJ on record

L10 · Over 1.5

Average: 1.6; +0.1 vs line
Median: 2; +0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 48%; at +110
Books’ fair: 44%; margin removed
Targets: 2.4; 10 games · 2.9 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 44%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−4553 books	—	8/10
+1106 books	−1484 books	6/10
+3253 books	—	2/10
+9503 books	—	0/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Receptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 1.5	Under 1.5
FanDuel4 min ago	+114Best	−148
Pinnacle5 min ago	+114Best	−148
Bally Bet5 min ago	+110	—
betPARX5 min ago	+110	−141Best
BetRivers5 min ago	+110	—
Bovada5 min ago	+110	−145
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:42 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over: −125 → +110 since first seen