James Cook III
BUF @ MIN · Mon, Nov 9 8:15 PM
What's different on Monday
Over 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pickMonDefense vs running backs
MIN allow 3.1 receptions a game to running backs: 30th most of 32
7 games
Targets
Last 3: 2.3 targets · 2026: 2.4 (7 games)
Target share: 8% last 3 games · 8% over 7 games this season
Rest
7 days off since Nov 1 vs BAL
Game lines
BUF −3 · total 45.5 (8 sportsbooks)
BUF's games this season closed at 51.9 on average (7 games)
Game log against Over 2.5
20%2 of 10L10
Over 2.5 Receptions cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).
Splits
Over 2.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 2.5
- Average
- 1.7
- −0.8 vs line
- Median
- 2
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 20%
- 2 of 10
- Price implies
- 45%
- at +124
- Books’ fair
- 42%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 2.7
- 10 games · 2.9 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 2.5 42%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −12001 book | — | 9/10 | |
| −2301 book | — | 6/10 | |
| +1241 book | −1661 book | 2/10 | |
| +2901 book | — | 0/10 | |
| +6401 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 1 sportsbook and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel3 min ago | +124Best | −166Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 2:31 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5Over +102 → +124 since first seen