James Cook III

Buffalo Bills · RB · #4

BUF @ NYJ · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under7.5

Over 7.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1143 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

50%5 of 10L10

Over 7.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 on the road).

at JAX, 2026-01-11: 5, missed, 3 targets
at DEN, 2026-01-17: 24, cleared, 3 targets
at HOU, 2026-09-13: 12, cleared, 4 targets
vs DET, 2026-09-17: 4, missed, 3 targets
vs LAC, 2026-09-27: 0, missed, 1 targets
vs NE, 2026-10-04: 8, cleared, 2 targets
at LAR, 2026-10-12: 7, missed, 1 targets
at LV, 2026-10-18: 58, cleared, 3 targets
vs BAL, 2026-11-01: 21, cleared, 3 targets
at MIN, 2026-11-09: 0, missed, 1 targets

ClearedMissedThe 7.5 lineTargets

What's different on Sunday

Over 7.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs running backs
NYJ allow 28.4 receiving yards a game to running backs: 23rd most of 32
9 games
Targets
Last 3: 2.3 targets · 2026: 2.3 (8 games)
Target share: 7% last 3 games · 8% over 8 games this season
Rest
5 days off since Nov 9 at MIN
Game lines
BUF −8 · total 51 (6 sportsbooks)
BUF's games this season closed at 51.3 on average (8 games)

Splits

Over 7.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against NYJ in his last 10; Over 7.5 cleared in 1 of 2 against NYJ on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs NYJ

III didn't play the Jan 4 meeting; receiving yards the last time III faced them: 3 (Sep 14, 2025)

Over 7.5 hit in 1 of 2 games against NYJ on record

L10 · Over 7.5

Average: 13.9; +6.4 vs line
Median: 7.5; ±0 vs line
Hit rate: 50%; 5 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −114
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Targets: 2.4; 10 games · 2.9 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 7.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1143 books	−1143 books	5/10
−1073 books	−1242 books	4/10
+1103 books	—	4/10
+3503 books	—	3/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 7.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 7.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 7.5	Under 7.5
Bovada8 min ago	−110Best	−120
FanDuel7 min ago	−114	−114Best
Pinnacle8 min ago	−114	−114Best
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 5:45 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

7.5

8.5 → 7.5 since first seen