Jakobi MeyersQuestionable

Jacksonville Jaguars · WR · #3

JAX @ TEN · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under3.5

Under 3.5 Receptions, typical price −1145 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 3.5 Receptions hit in 6 of his last 10 games (2 of 3 on the road).

vs TEN, 2026-01-04: 5, missed, 6 targets
vs BUF, 2026-01-11: 1, hit, 4 targets
vs CLE, 2026-09-13: 2, hit, 2 targets
at DEN, 2026-09-20: 1, hit, 1 targets
vs NE, 2026-09-27: 7, missed, 8 targets
at CIN, 2026-10-04: 3, hit, 4 targets
vs PHI, 2026-10-11: 2, hit, 3 targets
vs HOU, 2026-10-18: 5, missed, 10 targets
vs IND, 2026-11-01: 2, hit, 3 targets
at BAL, 2026-11-05: 4, missed, 6 targets

Under hitMissedThe 3.5 lineTargets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 1–6 receptions.

What's different on Sunday

Under 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

SunDefense vs wide receivers
TEN allow 15.3 receptions a game to wide receivers: the most of 32
8 games
SunTargets
Last 3: 6.3 targets · 2026: 4.6 (8 games) · up 37%
Target share: 23% last 3 games · 16% over 8 games this season
Rest
9 days off since Nov 5 at BAL
Game lines
JAX −10.5 · total 46.5 (7 sportsbooks)
JAX's games this season closed at 44.3 on average (8 games)

Splits

Under 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs TEN

Receptions: 5 in 6 targets, Jan 4 (home)

Under 3.5 hit in 0 of 3 games against TEN on record

L10 · Under 3.5

Average: 3.2; −0.3 vs line
Median: 2.5; −1 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −114
Books’ fair: 49%; margin removed
Our chance: 54%; estimate · fair −117

Research, not a pick. At −105 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −117, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−12504 books	—	2/10
−3454 books	—	5/10
−1395 books	−1143 books	6/10
+1504 books	—	7/10
+2904 books	—	9/10
+5004 books	—	9/10
+9504 books	—	10/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Receptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
betPARX13 min ago	−139	−105Best
FanDuel13 min ago	−114Best	−114
Pinnacle13 min ago	−114Best	−114
Bally Bet13 min ago	−139	—
BetRivers13 min ago	−139	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:18 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Under: −105 → −114 since first seen