Jakobi MeyersQuestionable
JAX @ TEN · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM
Game log against Over 41.5
40%4 of 10L10
Over 41.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (1 of 3 on the road).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 17.1–73.5 receiving yards.
What's different on Sunday
Over 41.5 · facts from past games, not a pickSunDefense vs wide receivers
TEN allow 194.9 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: the most of 32
8 games
SunTargets
Last 3: 6.3 targets · 2026: 4.6 (8 games) · up 37%
Target share: 23% last 3 games · 16% over 8 games this season
Rest
9 days off since Nov 5 at BAL
Game lines
JAX −10.5 · total 46.5 (7 sportsbooks)
JAX's games this season closed at 44.3 on average (8 games)
Splits
Over 41.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
Last vs TEN
Receiving Yards: 44 in 6 targets, Jan 4 (home)
Over 41.5 hit in 2 of 3 games against TEN on record
L10 · Over 41.5
- Average
- 43
- +1.5 vs line
- Median
- 38.5
- −3 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- 54%
- at −117
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 50%
- estimate · fair +100
Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair +100, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2354 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −1324 books | — | 5/10 | |
| — | — | 4/10 | |
| −1175 books | −1244 books | 4/10 | |
| +1284 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +2051 book | — | 3/10 | |
| +3101 book | — | 1/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 3 pick'em apps at 41.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 41.5 | Under 41.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel14 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| Pinnacle14 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| Bally Bet14 min ago | −117 | — |
| betPARX14 min ago | −117 | −124 |
| BetRivers14 min ago | −117 | −124 |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 6:18 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
41.540.5 → 41.5 since first seen