Jakobi MeyersQuestionable

Jacksonville Jaguars · WR · #3

JAX @ BAL · Thu, Nov 5 8:15 PM

Over Under3.5

Over 3.5 Receptions, typical price +1316 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

TonightRest
3 days off since Nov 1 vs IND: a short week
Defense vs wide receivers
BAL allow 12.8 receptions a game to wide receivers: 7th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 5.3 targets · 2026: 4.4 (7 games)
Target share: 17% last 3 games · 15% over 7 games this season
Game lines
JAX −9.5 · total 40.5 (7 sportsbooks)
JAX's games this season closed at 44.8 on average (7 games)

40%4 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Receptions cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (1 of 3 on the road).

at IND, 2025-12-28: 6, cleared, 9 targets
vs TEN, 2026-01-04: 5, cleared, 6 targets
vs BUF, 2026-01-11: 1, missed, 4 targets
vs CLE, 2026-09-13: 2, missed, 2 targets
at DEN, 2026-09-20: 1, missed, 1 targets
vs NE, 2026-09-27: 7, cleared, 8 targets
at CIN, 2026-10-04: 3, missed, 4 targets
vs PHI, 2026-10-11: 2, missed, 3 targets
vs HOU, 2026-10-18: 5, cleared, 10 targets
vs IND, 2026-11-01: 2, missed, 3 targets

ClearedMissedThe 3.5 lineTargets

Splits

Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against BAL in his last 10; Over 3.5 cleared in 1 of 1 against BAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs BAL

Receptions: 4 in 5 targets, Sep 15, 2024 (away)

Over 3.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against BAL on record

L10 · Over 3.5

Average: 3.4; −0.1 vs line
Median: 2.5; −1 vs line
Hit rate: 40%; 4 of 10
Price implies: 43%; at +131
Books’ fair: 43%; margin removed
Targets: 5; 10 games · 6.7 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 3.5 43%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−5904 books	—	8/10
−1774 books	+1351 book	5/10
+1316 books	−1543 books	4/10
+3004 books	—	4/10
+6504 books	—	2/10
+9201 book	—	1/10
+15001 book	—	0/10

Compare 6 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 3.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Receptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 3.5	Under 3.5
Bally Bet3 min ago	+143Best	—
betPARX5 min ago	+143Best	—
BetRivers5 min ago	+143Best	—
Bovada3 min ago	+120	−160
FanDuel3 min ago	+116	−154Best
Pinnacle3 min ago	+116	−154Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:19 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

Over +115 → +131 since first seen