Jahmyr Gibbs
DET @ MIA · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
Game log against Over 98.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 98.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (1 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 26.6–147.1 rushing yards.
What's different on Sunday
Over 98.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs running backs
MIA allow 105.9 rushing yards a game to running backs: 9th most of 32
7 games
Carries
Last 3: 25.7 carries · 2026: 22.4 (7 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs MIN
Game lines
DET −7 · total 50.5 (8 sportsbooks)
DET's games this season closed at 51.8 on average (7 games)
Splits
Over 98.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 98.5
- Average
- 89.6
- −8.9 vs line
- Median
- 89.5
- −9 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −113
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 52%
- estimate · fair −107
Research, not a pick. At −112 (the best of 5 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −107, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2784 books | — | 6/10 | |
| −1754 books | — | 5/10 | |
| −1151 book | −1151 book | 5/10 | |
| −1135 books | −1154 books | 5/10 | |
| −1074 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +1404 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +2103 books | — | 3/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 98.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 98.5 | Under 98.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet6 min ago | −112Best | — |
| betPARX2 min ago | −112Best | −115 |
| BetRivers4 min ago | −113 | −117 |
| FanDuel2 min ago | −114 | −114Best |
| Pinnacle6 min ago | −114 | −114Best |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 10:27 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
98.5101.5 → 98.5 since first seen