Jahmyr Gibbs
NE @ DET · Sun, Nov 15 9:30 AM
Game log against Under 20.5
60%6 of 10L10
Under 20.5 Rushing Attempts hit in 6 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 at home).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 11.6–25.3 rushing attempts.
What's different on Sunday
Under 20.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Jared Goff: Questionable (chest). He led DET in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Under 20.5 with Goff at quarterback: 47 of 55; with another DET quarterback: no games
Defense vs running backs
NE allow 21.1 carries a game to running backs: 24th most of 32
9 games
Carries
Last 3: 24 carries · 2026: 22.1 (8 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 at MIA
Splits
Under 20.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against NE on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Under 20.5
- Average
- 21.3
- +0.8 vs line
- Median
- 20
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 59%
- at −141
- Books’ fair
- 54%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 56%
- estimate · fair −128
Research, not a pick. At −141 the price is worse than our fair −128, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −5003 books | — | 1/10 | |
| −2503 books | — | 3/10 | |
| −1363 books | — | 4/10 | |
| −1033 books | −1411 book | 6/10 | |
| +1283 books | — | 6/10 | |
| +2203 books | — | 7/10 | |
| +3503 books | — | 8/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 20.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 20.5 | Under 20.5 |
|---|---|---|
| betPARX4 min ago | −103Best | −141Best |
| Bally Bet4 min ago | −103Best | — |
| BetRivers4 min ago | −103Best | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 6:23 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
20.521.5 → 20.5 since first seen