Jahmyr Gibbs
DET @ MIA · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
Game log against Under 20.5
60%6 of 10L10
Under 20.5 Rushing Attempts hit in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 10.5–25.1 rushing attempts.
What's different on Sunday
Under 20.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs running backs
MIA allow 24.7 carries a game to running backs: 5th most of 32
7 games
Carries
Last 3: 25.7 carries · 2026: 22.4 (7 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs MIN
Game lines
DET −7 · total 50.5 (8 sportsbooks)
DET's games this season closed at 51.8 on average (7 games)
Splits
Under 20.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Under 20.5
- Average
- 20
- −0.5 vs line
- Median
- 19.5
- −1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 52%
- at −108
- Books’ fair
- 49%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 53%
- estimate · fair −112
Research, not a pick. At −108 the price beats our fair −112, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −7703 books | — | 2/10 | |
| −3353 books | — | 4/10 | |
| −1653 books | — | 5/10 | |
| −1203 books | −1081 book | 6/10 | |
| +1154 books | −1431 book | 6/10 | |
| +2103 books | — | 7/10 | |
| +3803 books | — | 8/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 20.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 20.5 | Under 20.5 |
|---|---|---|
| betPARX5 min ago | −120Best | −108Best |
| Bally Bet4 min ago | −120Best | — |
| BetRivers4 min ago | −121 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 11:30 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
20.521.5 → 20.5 since first seen