Jahmyr Gibbs
DET @ MIA · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
Game log against Under 133.5
50%5 of 10L10
Under 133.5 Rush+Rec Yards hit in 5 of his last 10 games (4 of 5 on the road).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 56–169.7 rush+rec yards.
What's different on Sunday
Under 133.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs running backs
MIA allow 146.4 rushing + receiving yards a game to running backs: 4th most of 32
7 games
Carries + targets
Last 3: 31 carries + targets · 2026: 28.7 (7 games)
Target share: 18% last 3 games · 18% over 7 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs MIN
Game lines
DET −7 · total 50.5 (8 sportsbooks)
DET's games this season closed at 51.8 on average (7 games)
Splits
Under 133.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIA on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Under 133.5
- Average
- 130.3
- −3.2 vs line
- Median
- 128
- −5.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 54%
- at −117
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 51%
- estimate · fair −104
Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −104, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −5603 books | — | 3/10 | |
| −1653 books | — | 5/10 | |
| −1134 books | −1173 books | 5/10 | |
| −1101 book | −1201 book | 5/10 | |
| +1633 books | — | 6/10 | |
| +3903 books | — | 8/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 133.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 133.5 | Under 133.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel5 min ago | −114 | −114Best |
| betPARX8 min ago | −112Best | −117 |
| BetRivers7 min ago | −113 | −117 |
| Bally Bet7 min ago | −112Best | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:11 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
133.5135.5 → 133.5 since first seen