J.K. Dobbins

Denver Broncos · RB · #27

DEN @ CAR · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under0.5

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns, typical price +2355 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Carries + targets
Last 3: 11 carries + targets · 2026: 12.9 (8 games)
Target share: 11% last 1 game · 7% over 4 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs KC
Game lines
DEN −3 · total 44 (8 sportsbooks)
DEN's games this season closed at 43.8 on average (8 games)
CAR injuries
Akayleb Evans (CB, Injured Reserve, 3.4 tackles); Will Lee III (CB, Questionable, 4.7 tackles); Jaelan Phillips (LB, Questionable, 3.2 tackles)
A player's role: his average over his last games played (up to 10) · 1 more on the report

30%3 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).

at HOU, 2025-11-02: 0, missed, 16 carries + targets
vs LV, 2025-11-06: 0, missed, 19 carries + targets
at KC, 2026-09-14: 0, missed, 8 carries + targets
vs JAX, 2026-09-20: 0, missed, 10 carries + targets
vs LAR, 2026-09-27: 0, missed, 19 carries + targets
at SF, 2026-10-04: 0, missed, 13 carries + targets
at LAC, 2026-10-11: 1, cleared, 20 carries + targets
vs SEA, 2026-10-15: 1, cleared, 20 carries + targets
at ARI, 2026-10-25: 1, cleared, 6 carries + targets
vs KC, 2026-11-01: 0, missed, 7 carries + targets

ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineCarries + targets

Splits

Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CAR in his last 10; Over 0.5 cleared in 1 of 1 against CAR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs CAR

Total Touchdowns: 1 in 18 carries + targets, Sep 15, 2024 (away)

Over 0.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against CAR on record

L10 · Over 0.5

Average: 0.3; −0.2 vs line
Median: 0; −0.5 vs line
Hit rate: 30%; 3 of 10
Price implies: 30%; at +235
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Carries + targets: 13.8; 10 games · 16.7 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
+2355 books	pick'em only	3/10
+19005 books	—	0/10
+90003 books	—	0/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Total Touchdowns, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 0.5	Under 0.5
FanDuel9 min ago	+260Best	—
Bovada10 min ago	+240	—
Bally Bet10 min ago	+235	—
betPARX10 min ago	+235	—
BetRivers10 min ago	+235	—
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 9:53 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over +115 → +235 since first seen