J.K. Dobbins

Denver Broncos · RB · #27

DEN @ CAR · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under39.5

—1 pick'em app, no priceUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 39.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

Defense vs running backs
CAR allow 143.4 rushing + receiving yards a game to running backs: 8th most of 32
7 games
Carries + targets
Last 3: 11 carries + targets · 2026: 12.9 (8 games)
Target share: 11% last 1 game · 7% over 4 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 vs KC
Game lines
DEN −3 · total 44 (7 sportsbooks)
DEN's games this season closed at 43.8 on average (8 games)

60%6 of 10L10

Over 39.5 Rush+Rec Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

at HOU, 2025-11-02: 59, cleared, 16 carries + targets
vs LV, 2025-11-06: 84, cleared, 19 carries + targets
at KC, 2026-09-14: 36, missed, 8 carries + targets
vs JAX, 2026-09-20: 36, missed, 10 carries + targets
vs LAR, 2026-09-27: 53, cleared, 19 carries + targets
at SF, 2026-10-04: 52, cleared, 13 carries + targets
at LAC, 2026-10-11: 74, cleared, 20 carries + targets
vs SEA, 2026-10-15: 46, cleared, 20 carries + targets
at ARI, 2026-10-25: 23, missed, 6 carries + targets
vs KC, 2026-11-01: 13, missed, 7 carries + targets

ClearedMissedThe 39.5 lineCarries + targets

Splits

Over 39.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against CAR in his last 10; Over 39.5 cleared in 1 of 1 against CAR on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs CAR

Rush+Rec Yards: 131 in 18 carries + targets, Sep 15, 2024 (away)

Over 39.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against CAR on record

L10 · Over 39.5

Average: 47.6; +8.1 vs line
Median: 49; +9.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: —; 1 pick'em app, no price
Books’ fair: —; needs both sides
Carries + targets: 13.8; 10 games · 16.7 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet. It's posted on 1 pick'em app (a pick'em line, no price).

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Line	Over	Under	L10
	pick'em only	pick'em only	6/10

Compare 1 pick'em app at 39.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 39.5 Rush+Rec Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 39.5	Under 39.5
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 2:07 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

39.5

38.5 → 39.5 since we started recording it