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Drake Maye

New England Patriots · QB · #10

GB @ NE · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM
OverUnder0.5
Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns, typical price +3052 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Carries + targets

    Last 3: 5.3 carries + targets · 2026: 5.8 (8 games)

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 at MIA

  • Game lines

    NE −3 · total 47 (6 sportsbooks)

    NE's games this season closed at 45.3 on average (8 games)

  • GB injuries

    Micah Parsons (DE, Out, 3.3 tackles); Zaire Franklin (LB, Questionable, 7.2 tackles)

    A player's role: his average over his last games played (up to 10)

Game log against Over 0.5

40%4 of 10L10

Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 at home).

  1. at DEN, 2026-01-25: 1, cleared, 10 carries + targets
  2. vs SEA, 2026-02-08: 0, missed, 5 carries + targets
  3. at SEA, 2026-09-09: 0, missed, 7 carries + targets
  4. vs PIT, 2026-09-20: 0, missed, 4 carries + targets
  5. at JAX, 2026-09-27: 0, missed, 4 carries + targets
  6. at BUF, 2026-10-04: 0, missed, 8 carries + targets
  7. vs LV, 2026-10-11: 1, cleared, 7 carries + targets
  8. vs NYJ, 2026-10-18: 0, missed, 4 carries + targets
  9. at CHI, 2026-10-22: 1, cleared, 4 carries + targets
  10. at MIA, 2026-11-01: 1, cleared, 8 carries + targets
ClearedMissedThe 0.5 lineCarries + targets

Count only

Over 0.5 · L10

L10 · Over 0.5

Average
0.4
−0.1 vs line
Median
0
−0.5 vs line
Hit rate
40%
4 of 10
Price implies
25%
at +305
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides
Carries + targets
6.1
10 games · 6.4 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
+3052 bookspick'em only4/10
+30001 book—0/10
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 0.5 Total Touchdowns, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 0.5Under 0.5
FanDuel5 min ago+310Best—
Bovada9 min ago+300—
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 1:27 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

0.5

Over +302 → +305 since first seen

Drake Maye's full game log and splits