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Drake Maye

New England Patriots · QB · #10

GB @ NE · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM
OverUnder256.5
Over 256.5 Pass+Rush Yards, typical price −1151 sportsbook · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 256.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Pass attempts + carries

    Last 3: 33 attempts + carries · 2026: 35 (8 games)

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 at MIA

  • Game lines

    NE −3 · total 47 (6 sportsbooks)

    NE's games this season closed at 45.3 on average (8 games)

  • GB injuries

    Micah Parsons (DE, Out, 3.3 tackles); Zaire Franklin (LB, Questionable, 7.2 tackles)

    A player's role: his average over his last games played (up to 10)

Game log against Over 256.5

50%5 of 10L10

Over 256.5 Pass+Rush Yards cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).

  1. at DEN, 2026-01-25: 151, missed, 31 attempts + carries
  2. vs SEA, 2026-02-08: 332, cleared, 48 attempts + carries
  3. at SEA, 2026-09-09: 225, missed, 40 attempts + carries
  4. vs PIT, 2026-09-20: 225, missed, 26 attempts + carries
  5. at JAX, 2026-09-27: 217, missed, 29 attempts + carries
  6. at BUF, 2026-10-04: 323, cleared, 45 attempts + carries
  7. vs LV, 2026-10-11: 399, cleared, 41 attempts + carries
  8. vs NYJ, 2026-10-18: 259, cleared, 36 attempts + carries
  9. at CHI, 2026-10-22: 347, cleared, 35 attempts + carries
  10. at MIA, 2026-11-01: 204, missed, 28 attempts + carries
ClearedMissedThe 256.5 linePass attempts + carries

Count only

Over 256.5 · L10

L10 · Over 256.5

Average
268.2
+11.7 vs line
Median
242
−14.5 vs line
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10
Price implies
53%
at −115
Books’ fair
50%
margin removed
Pass attempts + carries
35.9
10 games · 35.4 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 256.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−1151 book−1151 book5/10
Compare 1 sportsbook at 256.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 256.5 Pass+Rush Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 256.5Under 256.5
Bovada3 min ago−115Best−115Best

Prices as of 12:31 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

256.5

259.5 → 256.5 since first seen

Drake Maye's full game log and splits