Drake Maye
GB @ NE · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM
Game log against Over 25.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 25.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 at home).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 4.8–61.2 rushing yards.
What's different on Sunday
Over 25.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs quarterbacks
GB allow 13.1 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks: 20th most of 32
8 games
Carries
Last 3: 5.3 carries · 2026: 5.8 (8 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at MIA
Game lines
NE −3 · total 45.5 (10 sportsbooks)
NE's games this season closed at 45.3 on average (8 games)
Splits
Over 25.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against GB on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 25.5
- Average
- 31.8
- +6.3 vs line
- Median
- 25.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −114
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 51%
- estimate · fair −106
Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −106, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −3901 book | — | 9/10 | |
| −2104 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −1281 book | — | 6/10 | |
| −1143 books | −1143 books | 5/10 | |
| −1123 books | −1182 books | 4/10 | |
| +1124 books | — | 4/10 | |
| +2104 books | — | 3/10 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 25.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 25.5 | Under 25.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel7 min ago | −114Best | −114 |
| Pinnacle7 min ago | −114Best | −114 |
| Bovada7 min ago | −120 | −110Best |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 3:31 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
25.5−112 → −114 since first seen