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Drake Maye

New England Patriots · QB · #10

GB @ NE · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM
OverUnder1.5
Over 1.5 Passing TDs, typical price −1295 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 1.5 · facts from past games, not a pick
  • Defense vs quarterbacks

    GB allow 1.25 passing touchdowns a game to quarterbacks: 23rd most of 32

    8 games

  • Pass attempts

    Last 3: 27.7 attempts · 2026: 29.3 (8 games)

  • Rest

    6 days off since Nov 1 at MIA

  • Game lines

    NE −3 · total 47 (8 sportsbooks)

    NE's games this season closed at 45.3 on average (8 games)

Game log against Over 1.5

60%6 of 10L10

Over 1.5 Passing TDs cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (3 of 4 at home).

  1. at DEN, 2026-01-25: 0, missed, 21 attempts
  2. vs SEA, 2026-02-08: 2, cleared, 43 attempts
  3. at SEA, 2026-09-09: 1, missed, 33 attempts
  4. vs PIT, 2026-09-20: 0, missed, 22 attempts
  5. at JAX, 2026-09-27: 0, missed, 25 attempts
  6. at BUF, 2026-10-04: 3, cleared, 37 attempts
  7. vs LV, 2026-10-11: 4, cleared, 34 attempts
  8. vs NYJ, 2026-10-18: 3, cleared, 32 attempts
  9. at CHI, 2026-10-22: 2, cleared, 31 attempts
  10. at MIA, 2026-11-01: 2, cleared, 20 attempts
ClearedMissedThe 1.5 linePass attempts

Splits

Over 1.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against GB on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 1.5

Average
1.7
+0.2 vs line
Median
2
+0.5 vs line
Hit rate
60%
6 of 10
Price implies
56%
at −129
Books’ fair
52%
margin removed
Pass attempts
29.8
10 games · 29.1 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 1.5 52%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
−9104 books—7/10
−1295 books−1034 books6/10
+3004 books—3/10
+11004 books—1/10
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 1.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 1.5 Passing TDs, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 1.5Under 1.5
FanDuel7 min ago−118Best−112
Bally Bet7 min ago−129—
betPARX7 min ago−129−103
BetRivers7 min ago−129−103
Bovada7 min ago−130+100Best
Sleeperpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 5:15 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

1.5

Over −127 → −129 since first seen

Drake Maye's full game log and splits