Drake Maye
GB @ NE · Sun, Nov 8 4:25 PM
Game log against Under 20.5
50%5 of 10L10
Under 20.5 Completions hit in 5 of his last 10 games (2 of 4 at home).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 14.1–26.9 completions.
What's different on Sunday
Under 20.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs quarterbacks
GB allow 22.6 completions a game to quarterbacks: 10th most of 32
8 games
Pass attempts
Last 3: 27.7 attempts · 2026: 29.3 (8 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at MIA
Game lines
NE −3 · total 45.5 (9 sportsbooks)
NE's games this season closed at 45.3 on average (8 games)
Splits
Under 20.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against GB on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Under 20.5
- Average
- 19.4
- −1.1 vs line
- Median
- 20
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 54%
- at −117
- Books’ fair
- 52%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 51%
- estimate · fair −104
Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 3 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −104, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −4003 books | — | 4/10 | |
| −1653 books | pick'em only | 5/10 | |
| −1125 books | −1173 books | 5/10 | |
| +1303 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +2503 books | — | 7/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks at 20.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 20.5 | Under 20.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle3 min ago | −114 | −114Best |
| betPARX3 min ago | −112 | −117 |
| Bovada3 min ago | +105Best | −135 |
| Bally Bet3 min ago | −112 | — |
| BetRivers3 min ago | −113 | — |
Prices as of 4:10 PM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
20.519.5 → 20.5 since first seen