Drake London

Atlanta Falcons · WR · #5

KC @ ATL · Sun, Nov 15 1:00 PM

Over Under72.5

Under 72.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1145 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

60%6 of 10L10

Under 72.5 Receiving Yards hit in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).

vs NO, 2026-01-04: 78, missed, 8 targets
at PIT, 2026-09-13: 29, hit, 4 targets
vs CAR, 2026-09-20: 51, hit, 5 targets
at GB, 2026-09-24: 194, missed, 10 targets
at NO, 2026-10-05: 96, missed, 6 targets
vs BAL, 2026-10-11: 118, missed, 11 targets
vs CHI, 2026-10-18: 62, hit, 10 targets
vs SF, 2026-10-25: 66, hit, 10 targets
at TB, 2026-11-01: 8, hit, 6 targets
vs CIN, 2026-11-08: 68, hit, 5 targets

Under hitMissedThe 72.5 lineTargets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 0–136.1 receiving yards.

What's different on Sunday

Under 72.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

SunDefense vs wide receivers
KC allow 113.1 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 31st most of 32
8 games
Quarterback
Michael Penix Jr. led ATL in passing in 7 of 9 games this season
Also led: Cooper Rush 2. Under 72.5 with Penix at quarterback: 9 of 19; with another ATL quarterback: 20 of 27
Targets
Last 3: 7 targets · 2026: 7.4 (9 games)
Target share: 24% last 3 games · 26% over 9 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 vs CIN

Splits

Under 72.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against KC in his last 10; Under 72.5 hit in 1 of 1 against KC on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs KC

Receiving Yards: 67 in 9 targets, Sep 22, 2024 (home)

Under 72.5 hit in 1 of 1 games against KC on record

L10 · Under 72.5

Average: 77; +4.5 vs line
Median: 67; −5.5 vs line
Hit rate: 60%; 6 of 10
Price implies: 53%; at −114
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Our chance: 55%; estimate · fair −123

Research, not a pick. At −114 (the best of 4 sportsbooks) the price beats our fair −123, but props stay research until bets like this beat the close.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Lines posted now

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2054 books	—	3/10
−1304 books	—	6/10
−1151 book	−1151 book	6/10
−1145 books	−1144 books	6/10
+1164 books	—	7/10
+1654 books	—	7/10
+2354 books	—	8/10

Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 72.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 72.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 72.5	Under 72.5
betPARX14 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
FanDuel14 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
Pinnacle14 min ago	−114Best	−114Best
BetRivers14 min ago	−115	−115
Bally Bet14 min ago	−114Best	—
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Underdogpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 6:22 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

72.5

73.5 → 72.5 since first seen