Dohnte Meyers
PIT @ CIN · Sun, Nov 15 8:20 PM
Game log against Under 2.5
63%5 of 8L8
Under 2.5 Receptions hit in 5 of his last 8 games (1 of 3 at home).
Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 1–5 receptions.
What's different on Sunday
Under 2.5 · facts from past games, not a pickDefense vs wide receivers
PIT allow 12.0 receptions a game to wide receivers: 12th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 2.7 targets · 2026: 3.3 (8 games)
Target share: 8% last 3 games · 9% over 8 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 8 at ATL
Game lines
CIN −3.5 · total 49.5 (7 sportsbooks)
CIN's games this season closed at 47.5 on average (8 games)
Splits
Under 2.5 · L8 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
Last vs PIT
Receptions: 3 in 5 targets, Sep 27 (away)
Under 2.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against PIT on record
L8 · Under 2.5
- Average
- 2.3
- −0.2 vs line
- Median
- 2
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 63%
- 5 of 8
- Price implies
- 60%
- at −148
- Books’ fair
- 55%
- margin removed
- Our chance
- 55%
- estimate · fair −120
Research, not a pick. At −144 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −120, so it isn't worth it.
Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.
Lines posted now
Under hits, L8| Line | Over | Under | L8 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −20003 books | — | 2/8 | |
| −2784 books | — | 3/8 | |
| +1124 books | −1482 books | 5/8 | |
| +2804 books | — | 7/8 | |
| +6504 books | — | 7/8 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 2.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel11 min ago | +108 | −144Best |
| betPARX11 min ago | +112Best | −148 |
| Bally Bet11 min ago | +112Best | — |
| BetRivers11 min ago | +112Best | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 6:19 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
2.5−144 → −148 since first seen