DK Metcalf
PIT @ CIN · Sun, Nov 15 8:20 PM
Game log against Over 4.5
20%2 of 10L10
Over 4.5 Receptions cleared in 2 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).
What's different on Sunday
Over 4.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Aaron Rodgers led PIT in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 4.5 with Rodgers at quarterback: 5 of 22; with another PIT quarterback: 2 of 2
Defense vs wide receivers
CIN allow 10.8 receptions a game to wide receivers: 19th most of 32
8 games
Targets
Last 3: 9 targets · 2026: 8 (8 games)
Target share: 26% last 3 games · 22% over 8 games this season
Rest
13 days off since Nov 1 vs CLE
Splits
Over 4.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderTap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
Last vs CIN
Receptions: 3 in 5 targets, Sep 27 (home)
Over 4.5 hit in 1 of 3 games against CIN on record
L10 · Over 4.5
- Average
- 3.9
- −0.6 vs line
- Median
- 3.5
- −1 vs line
- Hit rate
- 20%
- 2 of 10
- Price implies
- 48%
- at +110
- Books’ fair
- 43%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 7.8
- 10 games · 6.5 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 4.5 43%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −50003 books | — | 9/10 | |
| −5904 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −2104 books | — | 5/10 | |
| +1105 books | −1603 books | 2/10 | |
| +2204 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +4404 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +8504 books | — | 1/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 4.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 4.5 | Under 4.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel2 min ago | +120Best | −160 |
| Pinnacle2 min ago | +120Best | −160 |
| Bally Bet2 min ago | +110 | — |
| betPARX2 min ago | +110 | −143Best |
| BetRivers2 min ago | +110 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 6:23 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
4.5+120 → +110 since first seen