Denzel BostonQuestionable
CLE @ NO · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM
Game log against Over 43.5
50%4 of 8L8
Over 43.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 4 of his last 8 games (3 of 5 on the road).
What's different on Sunday
Over 43.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Deshaun Watson: Questionable (concussion). He led CLE in passing in 8 of 8 games this season
Over 43.5 with Watson at quarterback: 4 of 8; with another CLE quarterback: no games
Defense vs wide receivers
NO allow 143.6 receiving yards a game to wide receivers: 17th most of 32
7 games
Targets
Last 3: 8 targets · 2026: 6.6 (8 games)
Target share: 23% last 3 games · 21% over 8 games this season
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at PIT
3rd straight road game
Splits
Over 43.5 · L8 · counts, not in orderNo game against NO on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L8 · Over 43.5
- Average
- 51.1
- +7.6 vs line
- Median
- 43.5
- ±0 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 4 of 8
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −114
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 6.6
- 8 games
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 43.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L8| Line | Over | Under | L8 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −2104 books | — | 6/8 | |
| −1294 books | — | 5/8 | |
| −1223 books | −1182 books | 5/8 | |
| −1143 books | −1143 books | 4/8 | |
| −1151 book | −1151 book | 4/8 | |
| +1204 books | — | 3/8 | |
| +1741 book | — | 2/8 |
Compare 3 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 43.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 43.5 | Under 43.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel7 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| Pinnacle7 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| Bovada7 min ago | −115 | −115 |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 11:20 AM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
43.5No move since first seen