Daniel Jones

Indianapolis Colts · QB · #17

DAL @ IND · Sun, Nov 8 1:00 PM

Over Under8.5

Over 8.5 Rushing Yards, typical price −1204 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

30%3 of 10L10

Over 8.5 Rushing Yards cleared in 3 of his last 10 games (1 of 4 at home).

vs HOU, 2025-11-30: 1, missed, 1 carries
at JAX, 2025-12-07: 4, missed, 1 carries
vs BAL, 2026-09-13: 4, missed, 1 carries
at KC, 2026-09-20: 10, cleared, 3 carries
vs HOU, 2026-09-27: 5, missed, 3 carries
at WSH, 2026-10-04: 2, missed, 4 carries
at PIT, 2026-10-11: 4, missed, 3 carries
vs TEN, 2026-10-18: 30, cleared, 3 carries
at MIN, 2026-10-25: 13, cleared, 4 carries
at JAX, 2026-11-01: 7, missed, 4 carries

ClearedMissedThe 8.5 lineCarries

What's different on Sunday

Over 8.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

SunDefense vs quarterbacks
DAL allow 28.9 rushing yards a game to quarterbacks: the most of 32
8 games
Carries
Last 3: 3.7 carries · 2026: 3.1 (8 games)
Rest
6 days off since Nov 1 at JAX
Game lines
IND +5.5 · total 51.5 (9 sportsbooks)
IND's games this season closed at 44.6 on average (8 games)

Splits

Over 8.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against DAL in his last 10; Over 8.5 cleared in 0 of 1 against DAL on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Last vs DAL

Rushing Yards: 3 in 4 carries, Sep 26, 2024 (home)

Over 8.5 hit in 0 of 1 games against DAL on record

L10 · Over 8.5

Average: 8; −0.5 vs line
Median: 4.5; −4 vs line
Hit rate: 30%; 3 of 10
Price implies: 55%; at −120
Books’ fair: 50%; margin removed
Carries: 2.7; 10 games · 3.5 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 8.5 50%.

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−1921 book	—	5/10
pick'em only	pick'em only	4/10
−1142 books	−1142 books	3/10
−1204 books	−1213 books	3/10
−1034 books	—	3/10
+2201 book	—	1/10
+3701 book	—	1/10

Compare 4 sportsbooks at 8.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 8.5 Rushing Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 8.5	Under 8.5
Bovada7 min ago	−115Best	−115Best
Bally Bet8 min ago	−120	—
betPARX5 min ago	−120	−121
BetRivers5 min ago	−120	−121

Prices as of 9:57 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

8.5

6.5 → 8.5 since first seen