Dalton Kincaid
BUF @ MIN · Mon, Nov 9 8:15 PM
What's different on Monday
Over 0.5 · facts from past games, not a pickQuarterback
Josh Allen led BUF in passing in 7 of 7 games this season
Over 0.5 with Allen at quarterback: 13 of 47; with another BUF quarterback: 0 of 1
Carries + targets
Last 3: 5.3 carries + targets · 2026: 5 (7 games)
Target share: 19% last 3 games · 17% over 7 games this season
Rest
7 days off since Nov 1 vs BAL
Game lines
BUF −3 · total 45.5 (8 sportsbooks)
BUF's games this season closed at 51.9 on average (7 games)
Game log against Over 0.5
40%4 of 10L10
Over 0.5 Total Touchdowns cleared in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 5 on the road).
Splits
Over 0.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 0.5
- Average
- 0.4
- −0.1 vs line
- Median
- 0
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 40%
- 4 of 10
- Price implies
- 34%
- at +190
- Books’ fair
- —
- needs both sides
- Carries + targets
- 4.9
- 10 games · 4.3 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| +1902 books | pick'em only | 4/10 | |
| +30001 book | — | 0/10 |
Compare 2 sportsbooks and 1 pick'em app at 0.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
|---|---|---|
| FanDuel6 min ago | +290Best | — |
| Bovada6 min ago | +190 | — |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 11:50 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
0.5Over +185 → +190 since first seen