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Dalton Kincaid

Buffalo Bills · TE · #86

BUF @ MIN · Mon, Nov 9 8:15 PM
OverUnder3.5
—1 pick'em app, no priceUpdated

What's different tonight

Over 3.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

  • TonightDefense vs tight ends

    MIN allow 3.1 receptions a game to tight ends: the fewest of 32

    7 games

  • Quarterback

    Josh Allen led BUF in passing in 7 of 7 games this season

    Over 3.5 with Allen at quarterback: 26 of 47; with another BUF quarterback: 0 of 1

  • Targets

    Last 3: 5.3 targets · 2026: 5 (7 games)

    Target share: 19% last 3 games · 17% over 7 games this season

  • Rest

    7 days off since Nov 1 vs BAL

Game log against Over 3.5

50%5 of 10L10

Over 3.5 Receptions cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 5 on the road).

  1. vs NYJ, 2026-01-04: 3, missed, 3 targets
  2. at JAX, 2026-01-11: 3, missed, 5 targets
  3. at DEN, 2026-01-17: 6, cleared, 6 targets
  4. at HOU, 2026-09-13: 5, cleared, 6 targets
  5. vs DET, 2026-09-17: 7, cleared, 8 targets
  6. vs LAC, 2026-09-27: 2, missed, 3 targets
  7. vs NE, 2026-10-04: 1, missed, 2 targets
  8. at LAR, 2026-10-12: 1, missed, 2 targets
  9. at LV, 2026-10-18: 7, cleared, 8 targets
  10. vs BAL, 2026-11-01: 4, cleared, 6 targets
ClearedMissedThe 3.5 lineTargets

Splits

Over 3.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against MIN on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

L10 · Over 3.5

Average
3.9
+0.4 vs line
Median
3.5
±0 vs line
Hit rate
50%
5 of 10
Price implies
—
1 pick'em app, no price
Books’ fair
—
needs both sides
Targets
4.9
10 games · 4.3 in 2025

Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet. It's posted on 1 pick'em app (a pick'em line, no price).

Lines posted now

Over hits, L10
Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
LineOverUnderL10
pick'em onlypick'em only5/10
Compare 1 pick'em app at 3.5
Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 3.5 Receptions, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · readOver 3.5Under 3.5
Underdogpick'em, posted nowLine posted, no price

Prices as of 4:12 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

The consensus line

3.5

No opening line kept for this market yet.

No line history recorded for this market yet.

Dalton Kincaid's full game log and splits