Colston Loveland
TB @ CHI · Sun, Nov 8 8:20 PM
What's different tonight
Over 5.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTonightTargets
Last 3: 9.3 targets · 2026: 6.4 (8 games) · up 45%
Target share: 27% last 3 games · 19% over 8 games this season
Quarterback
Caleb Williams led CHI in passing in 5 of 8 games this season
Also led: Tyson Bagent 2; Case Keenum 1. Over 5.5 with Williams at quarterback: 7 of 23; with another CHI quarterback: 1 of 3
Defense vs tight ends
TB allow 5.4 receptions a game to tight ends: 17th most of 32
8 games
Rest
5 days off since Nov 2 at SEA
Game log against Over 5.5
50%5 of 10L10
Over 5.5 Receptions cleared in 5 of his last 10 games (3 of 6 at home).
Splits
Over 5.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against TB on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 5.5
- Average
- 4.5
- −1 vs line
- Median
- 5
- −0.5 vs line
- Hit rate
- 50%
- 5 of 10
- Price implies
- 51%
- at −103
- Books’ fair
- 46%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 7.6
- 10 games · 5.9 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 5.5 46%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −25004 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −5604 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −2254 books | — | 5/10 | |
| −1035 books | −1303 books | 5/10 | |
| +1904 books | — | 3/10 | |
| +3604 books | — | 1/10 | |
| +7004 books | — | 0/10 |
Compare 5 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 5.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 5.5 | Under 5.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bovada3 min ago | +115Best | −150 |
| FanDuel3 min ago | −102 | −130 |
| Bally Bet4 min ago | −103 | — |
| betPARX4 min ago | −103 | −127Best |
| BetRivers4 min ago | −104 | — |
| Sleeperpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 11:18 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
5.5Over −102 → −103 since first seen