Colston Loveland
TB @ CHI · Sun, Nov 8 8:20 PM
What's different tonight
Over 50.5 · facts from past games, not a pickTonightTargets
Last 3: 9.3 targets · 2026: 6.4 (8 games) · up 45%
Target share: 27% last 3 games · 19% over 8 games this season
Quarterback
Caleb Williams led CHI in passing in 5 of 8 games this season
Also led: Tyson Bagent 2; Case Keenum 1. Over 50.5 with Williams at quarterback: 10 of 23; with another CHI quarterback: 1 of 3
Defense vs tight ends
TB allow 56.1 receiving yards a game to tight ends: 12th most of 32
8 games
Rest
5 days off since Nov 2 at SEA
Game log against Over 50.5
60%6 of 10L10
Over 50.5 Receiving Yards cleared in 6 of his last 10 games (4 of 6 at home).
Splits
Over 50.5 · L10 · counts, not in orderNo game against TB on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.
L10 · Over 50.5
- Average
- 50.2
- −0.3 vs line
- Median
- 56.5
- +6 vs line
- Hit rate
- 60%
- 6 of 10
- Price implies
- 53%
- at −114
- Books’ fair
- 50%
- margin removed
- Targets
- 7.6
- 10 games · 5.9 in 2025
Research, not a pick. We have no number of our own on this line yet; the market makes the Over 50.5 50%.
Lines posted now
Over hits, L10| Line | Over | Under | L10 |
|---|---|---|---|
| −5604 books | — | 7/10 | |
| −2404 books | — | 6/10 | |
| −1214 books | — | 6/10 | |
| −1144 books | −1143 books | 6/10 | |
| pick'em only | pick'em only | 6/10 | |
| −1151 book | −1151 book | 6/10 | |
| +1454 books | — | 4/10 |
Compare 4 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 50.5
| Sportsbook · read | Over 50.5 | Under 50.5 |
|---|---|---|
| Bally Bet2 min ago | −114Best | — |
| betPARX2 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| FanDuel1 min ago | −114Best | −114Best |
| BetRivers2 min ago | −115 | −115 |
| PrizePickspick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
| Underdogpick'em, posted now | Line posted, no price | |
Prices as of 7:58 PM ET. The page leads with the Over's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.
The consensus line
50.551.5 → 50.5 since first seen