Colston Loveland

Chicago Bears · TE · #84

Under 51.5 Receiving Yards, typical price −1143 sportsbooks · consensus lineUpdated

40%4 of 10L10

Under 51.5 Receiving Yards hit in 4 of his last 10 games (2 of 6 at home).

Under hitMissedThe 51.5 lineTargets

Our model's range for Sunday's game: a typical game lands 5.7–79.8 receiving yards.

What's different on Sunday

Under 51.5 · facts from past games, not a pick

SunTargets
Last 3: 9.3 targets · 2026: 6.4 (8 games) · up 45%
Target share: 27% last 3 games · 19% over 8 games this season
Quarterback
Caleb Williams led CHI in passing in 5 of 8 games this season
Also led: Tyson Bagent 2; Case Keenum 1. Under 51.5 with Williams at quarterback: 13 of 23; with another CHI quarterback: 2 of 3
Defense vs tight ends
TB allow 56.1 receiving yards a game to tight ends: 12th most of 32
8 games
Rest
5 days off since Nov 2 at SEA

Under 51.5 · L10 · counts, not in order

No game against TB on record. Tap a split to count only its games. Research from past games, not a pick.

Research, not a pick. At −113 (the best of 2 sportsbooks) the price is worse than our fair −110, so it isn't worth it.

Our chance is our model's estimate, not a proven edge.

Under hits, L10

Every line posted now: the typical price on each side and how many sportsbooks price it.
Over	Under	L10
−2504 books	—	4/10
−1304 books	—	4/10
−1142 books	−1142 books	4/10
−1153 books	−1142 books	4/10
−1151 book	−1151 book	4/10
+1354 books	—	6/10
+2254 books	—	9/10

Compare 3 sportsbooks and 2 pick'em apps at 51.5

Each sportsbook's price for the Over and the Under 51.5 Receiving Yards, with when we read it; the best current price is marked.
Sportsbook · read	Over 51.5	Under 51.5
betPARX3 min ago	−115Best	−113Best
BetRivers5 min ago	−117	−114
Bally Bet4 min ago	−115Best	—
PrizePickspick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price
Sleeperpick'em, posted now	Line posted, no price

Prices as of 2:39 AM ET. The page leads with the Under's typical price; these are each sportsbook's own.

51.5

50.5 → 51.5 since first seen